2024 Us Election Prediction Model. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning. Our prediction model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning each individual state and the election overall

The current, headline prediction of the model is given in the graphic below. Our prediction model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning each individual state and the election overall